Attack as a Political Signal
The Pahalgam attack was not a random act but a deliberate, calculated strike aimed at creating disruption.
It comes after Kashmir began welcoming tourists and during U.S. Vice-President J.D. Vance's visit to India, signaling a broader political motive.
The attack is part of a long-standing pattern of cross-border terrorism, largely orchestrated by Pakistan's military-intelligence establishment.
Strategic Failures and Intelligence Gaps
The attack in a popular tourist area reveals a serious intelligence failure and lack of security vigilance.
Pahalgam, a gateway to the Amarnath shrine, should have been better protected with advanced surveillance and preparedness.
The strike on tourists was a direct assault on Kashmir's image as a safe tourist destination.
Response and Deterrence Strategy
India needs a strategic, long-term approach to deter Pakistan, not just episodic retaliations.
The response should include diplomatic isolation, economic pressure, and covert actions to disrupt terrorist networks.
The goal is to create visible, cumulative costs for Pakistan's actions, altering its behavior over time.
Pakistan's Instability and Escalatory Behavior
Pakistan is facing deep internal instability, using Kashmir and violence to divert domestic discontent and reassert military control.
General Asim Munir's aggressive stance and rising tensions at the LOC signal Pakistan's increasing risk-taking behavior.
Historically, Pakistan has escalated tensions with India during periods of internal unrest, using Kashmir as a key battleground.
The Need for Deterrence and Stability
India must re-establish deterrence to prevent further unprovoked attacks from Pakistan.
Attacks on Kashmir’s tourism industry aim to disrupt the region's recovery and normalcy.
The people of Kashmir are victims of terrorism, not complicit in it, and should be included in peace-building efforts.
India’s internal response should focus on economic investment, political engagement, and social integration, alongside external actions.
COMMENTS