Fragile Ceasefire and Peace Prospects
A fragile ceasefire is emerging, bolstered by maritime and energy truces brokered in Riyadh.
Both Ukraine and Russia show signs of fatigue from prolonged conflict, suggesting a shift towards peace.
The Black Sea deal reflects growing diplomatic efforts to stabilize the region.
Challenges with European-Led Peacekeeping Force
Russia opposes European troops, fearing it as a NATO Trojan horse, a strategy to expand NATO’s influence in Ukraine.
European countries face public resistance to deploying troops, with polls showing widespread opposition.
Logistical issues and the need for U.S. support further complicate Europe’s peacekeeping role.
A European-led mission risks escalating tensions rather than fostering peace.
Global South as a Neutral Leader
The Global South maintains neutrality in the conflict, with countries like India and Brazil having strong peacekeeping credentials.
Their impartial stance makes them credible to both Ukraine and Russia.
The African Union (AU) has a strong record in peacekeeping, especially in conflict zones like Sudan and Somalia, demonstrating its operational effectiveness.
Excluding NATO forces would reassure Russia of the mission’s neutrality.
Strategic Role of India
India’s extensive history in UN peacekeeping, including the first all-women police contingent, highlights its leadership potential.
Its diplomatic balance with Russia, the West, and Ukraine strengthens its role as a neutral party.
India’s active participation would enhance its global standing and influence in international diplomacy.
The Global South-led mission would signal a shift in global power dynamics, asserting the South’s role in global peacekeeping.
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