AI Arms Race and AGI Concerns
Experts worry about a future race to develop AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), which could surpass human intelligence.
While AGI is still theoretical, countries may face security risks if such technology emerges.
Research on how AI affects global security and strategy is still very limited.
Flaws in Comparing AI to Nuclear Weapons
A recent paper compares superintelligent AI risks to nuclear threats, proposing a concept called MAIM (Mutual Assured AI Malfunction), similar to MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction).
This comparison is flawed because AI is decentralized and not as physically controllable as nuclear weapons.
Trying to preemptively destroy AI projects (especially in rogue states or terrorist groups) could be risky and lead to unintended conflicts.
Control Proposals Are Unrealistic
Authors suggest controlling AI chip distribution like nuclear materials — but AI doesn’t need constant physical resources, making this hard to enforce.
The paper assumes that AI-powered cyberattacks and bioweapons are inevitable, though this is not proven.
It also wrongly assumes governments will always lead AI development, ignoring the major role of private tech companies.
Need for Better Thinking on AI and Security
AI is different from past technologies and needs new strategies — not outdated comparisons with nuclear arms.
Instead of flawed analogies, we need more research and frameworks (like the General Purpose Technology idea) to understand AI’s real role in global power.
Until AGI becomes real, policymakers should avoid overreaction and focus on building informed, flexible strategies.
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