India's Growing Engagement with the Taliban
India is increasingly engaging with the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, with potential plans to accept a Taliban-appointed envoy in New Delhi.
This follows a high-level meeting between Indian and Taliban officials, indicating a push to strengthen political and economic ties, and provide humanitarian aid.
India reopened its embassy in Kabul in 2022, signaling a shift in its stance towards the Taliban.
This engagement is seen as a move to secure India's strategic interests in Afghanistan and counter regional rivals.
Regional Dynamics and Strategic Considerations
China has already established a strong presence in Afghanistan, accepting a Taliban envoy and investing in infrastructure projects, potentially including the Belt and Road Initiative.
Pakistan's relationship with the Taliban has deteriorated, creating an opportunity for India to gain influence.
India's engagement is partly motivated by a desire to counter China's influence and fill the vacuum left by Pakistan.
Security Risks and Terrorism Concerns
Afghanistan has become a breeding ground for terrorism under the Taliban, with the Islamic State (IS) posing a significant threat.
IS has conducted attacks targeting the Taliban, China, Russia, and, increasingly, India.
The Taliban is also accused of supporting the Tehrik-e Taliban, which conducts attacks in Pakistan, leading to severe tensions between those two nations.
India has already faced IS attacks on its consulate, raising concerns about future threats.
India must be concerned about the IS recruiting lone actors to commit attacks inside of India.
Need for Caution and Conditions
India must prioritize counterterrorism efforts and demand that the Taliban address the IS and Tehrik-e Taliban threats.
India should learn from the experiences of China and Pakistan, who have faced significant challenges in their dealings with the Taliban.
India should proceed with caution, considering the risks associated with engaging with a regime that has a track record of instability and support for extremist groups.
India should ensure that Afghanistan is free of terrorism, before continuing to deepen relations with the Taliban.
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